Finding Your First Home with Gene Brazzell of M&R Realty: The Ultimate Guide for Midlands Buyers

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Quality Homes

Purchasing a first home is a milestone that comes with its share of excitement and challenges. For first-time buyers in the Midlands area of South Carolina, Gene Brazzell from M&R Realty is a beacon of expertise and support. With a deep understanding of the local real estate market, Gene ensures that his clients find quality homes in Lexington and Richland Counties. These areas are renowned for their low taxes, safe neighborhoods, and excellent schools, making them ideal for families and individuals alike.

Lifestyle and Budget

Gene Brazzell’s commitment to helping first-time buyers is evident in his personalized approach. He takes the time to understand each client’s unique needs and preferences, ensuring that the homes he recommends align perfectly with their lifestyle and budget. Whether you’re looking for a cozy starter home or a spacious family residence, Gene’s extensive knowledge of the Midlands real estate market allows him to find properties that tick all the boxes.

Low Tax Areas

One of the primary concerns for any homebuyer is finding a property in a low-tax area. Gene Brazzell’s expertise in the Midlands market includes a comprehensive understanding of the tax landscape in Lexington and Richland Counties. He helps clients navigate the complexities of property taxes, ensuring they benefit from the most favorable rates. This focus on low-tax areas allows first-time buyers to maximize their investment and enjoy financial peace of mind.

Safety and Quality of Life

Safety is another critical factor when choosing a home, especially for families. Gene Brazzell prioritizes finding homes in safe neighborhoods, giving his clients the confidence that their new home will be a secure and welcoming environment. With detailed knowledge of crime statistics and community safety initiatives, Gene ensures that first-time buyers can make informed decisions about where to settle down.

Children and Education

For families with children, access to quality education is a top priority. Gene Brazzell understands the importance of finding homes in areas with excellent schools, from kindergarten through college. The Midlands is home to some of the best educational institutions in South Carolina, and Gene’s expertise allows him to identify neighborhoods that offer superior educational opportunities. This ensures that children receive a strong foundation for their future, making the home-buying decision even more rewarding.

Neighborhoods and Communities

Lexington and Richland Counties boast a variety of neighborhoods, each with its own unique charm and amenities. Gene Brazzell’s in-depth knowledge of these areas allows him to match clients with communities that suit their lifestyle preferences. Whether you’re looking for a vibrant urban setting or a tranquil suburban retreat, Gene’s insights into the Midlands market ensure that you find the perfect neighborhood to call home.

Navigation and Support

First-time buyers often face a steep learning curve when navigating the real estate market. Gene Brazzell’s experience and dedication make the process smoother and more manageable. He provides comprehensive support throughout the home-buying journey, from initial consultation to closing. Gene’s guidance helps clients understand each step of the process, empowering them to make confident and informed decisions.

Knowledgeable Negotiation

In addition to his market expertise, Gene Brazzell is known for his strong negotiation skills. He advocates tirelessly on behalf of his clients, ensuring they receive the best possible terms and prices. This is particularly beneficial for first-time buyers, who may feel overwhelmed by the negotiation process. Gene’s ability to secure favorable deals adds significant value to the home-buying experience.

Reliable Contractor Access

Gene Brazzell’s commitment to client satisfaction extends beyond the purchase. He provides ongoing support and resources to help first-time buyers settle into their new homes and communities. From recommending reliable contractors to sharing tips on home maintenance, Gene ensures that his clients feel supported long after the sale is complete. This dedication to client care sets him apart as a trusted partner in the real estate journey.

Personalized Attention

Ultimately, Gene Brazzell’s passion for helping first-time buyers achieve their homeownership dreams is at the heart of his success. His personalized approach, deep market knowledge, and unwavering commitment to client satisfaction make him the ideal choice for anyone looking to buy a home in the Midlands area of South Carolina. With Gene’s guidance, first-time buyers can navigate the complexities of the real estate market with confidence, securing a quality home in a low-tax, safe neighborhood with excellent schools.

Homes Near Top-Rated Schools Cost Nearly 80% More—but Homebuyers Can Still Find Bargains by Giving Up One Thing

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When real estate agent and investor Ron Myers was looking for a home for his family in Wellington, FL, “the school district was non-negotiable for me and my wife,” he recalls.

Their son was 11 at the time, and they had plans to have more children.

“We were not just buying for ourselves; we were buying for our kids’ future,” says Myers. “A top school district meant a better education for them and a stronger investment for us. Why pour tens of thousands per year into private school tuition when you can invest it into your home and let that equity grow?”

Myers and his wife were lucky enough to find a home within walking distance of a top-rated elementary school. They went on to have two more kids.

“Buying our home is a decision we have never regretted because the value of being in the right district goes beyond just dollars and cents,” he says. “It’s about ensuring what’s best for your family and having peace of mind.”

However, that peace of mind comes with a hefty price tag.

How much more do homes cost near top-rated schools?

While most homebuyers know that properties in quality school districts tend to be more expensive, a new Realtor.com® report proves just how much parents pay for that privilege.

Over the past year, a typical home near a public elementary school with a GreatSchools rating of 9 or 10 has been calculated to cost an average of 78.6% more than a typical home in the surrounding county.

“Because a home’s location in many parts of the U.S. determines the school its residents attend, a home located in a top-notch school district tends to command a premium for that amenity,” says Realtor.com economist Jiayi Xu in her analysis.

Yet despite this daunting fee, parents are rarely deterred.

“A good school district is the Holy Grail for my clients,” says Myers. “My buyers know the value, and they’re ready to pay more because they understand that homes in these areas are a gold mine.”

Parents agree that these pricey purchases are worth every penny.

“My youngest has special needs,” says Christy Walkers, who lives in a top school district near Phoenix, where she also works as a real estate broker at Re/Max Signature. “Without the accommodations in her current school, she would likely need to be homeschooled, which would greatly impact our ability to provide quality education, community, and socialization. Being a part of a school district that provides that higher level of care has become a lifeline to us as parents.”

A good school district is even attractive to buyers who don’t have kids, because they know that buying in one will be great for resale values.

“Houses in quality school districts tend to maintain worth to a greater degree even during downturns compared to homes in less attractive areas,” says real estate investor Johnny Austin in Tacoma, WA.

How school districts affect affordability in the West

For those living in pricey Western markets, finding budget-friendly properties in high-quality school districts is particularly challenging. Homes near top schools in this region cost 87.4% more than a typical home in the surrounding county.

In Los Angeles, one of the most expensive housing markets in the U.S., median list prices around top-rated schools were an astounding 139.8% higher than surrounding counties.

Bargain alert: Homebuyers who prioritize education can still find bargains in the L.A. area if they look carefully.

According to Realtor.com data, homes around the top-ratedOak Hills Elementary School in Los Angeles County were listed for $961,669 over the past 12 months—which is 12.1%, or $131,766, less than the going rate for properties in the surrounding county.

Why Midwest markets charge nearly double for top schools

Midwest markets have been heralded lately for their affordability—but homebuyers hoping to settle in a top school district here will pay nearly double the price.

A typical home near high-quality schools in the Midwest will cost an average of 93.2% more than in surrounding counties. This high premium stems in part from the area’s growing popularity.

“Increased competition for homes near top-rated schools [in the Midwest] may drive prices even higher, raising new affordability concerns,” says Xu.

For example, in Columbus, OH—which Realtor.com named the most popular market people are moving to in 2024—the median list price around top-rated schools was 43.4% higher than in nearby counties outside the school zone.

Bargain alert: Home shoppers searching for a bargain in this area should consider house hunting around Central Elementary School in Hocking County. Homes near this highly rated school had a median list price of $239,310 over the past year on average—a whopping 46.4%, or $207,521, lower than the price of a typical home in the surrounding county.

How much Southern homebuyers pay for top schoolsIn the South, a typical house near high-quality schools cost an average of 76.7% more compared with a home in surrounding counties.

“I advise parents to purchase in the best school district they can afford,” says Bruce Ailion, a real estate agent and attorney with Re/Max Town & Country in Atlanta. “The parents with an appreciation for education understand the value that top schools deliver to their children.”

Bargain alert: Shoppers who are looking for affordable homes near top-rated schools in Tampa, FL, should consider homes around Chiles Elementary School and Clark Elementary School from Hillsborough County, or Cypress Woods Elementary School from Pinellas County. Purchasing a typical home by these schools can save a buyer between $59,825 and $114,384, or 12.8% to 25.7%, compared with buying a typical home in the surrounding counties.

Why Northeast homebuyers struggle to afford good schools

A typical home near top schools in the Northeast is 56.0% pricier compared with real estate in the surrounding county. Meanwhile, in one of the area’s most expensive metropolitan markets—New York City—the median list prices near highly rated schools is 54.6% higher than in surrounding counties.

“My clients are willing in particular to focus on properties near top public schools, given the average cost of private schools in my area,” says Nikki Beauchamp, associate broker at Sotheby’s International Realty in Manhattan. “If you had two kids in New York City private schools, you could easily be well into six figures with tuition.”

Bargain alert: Buyers looking for access to both top-rated schools and affordable homes in Manhattan could have better odds when shopping for homes near River SchoolPeck Slip SchoolPS 183 Robert L StevensonPS 163 Alfred E Smith, and PS 527 East Side School-Social Action. Buying a typical home near these schools in Manhattan “can save a homebuyer between $79,443 and $736,734, or 4.8% to 44.8%, compared to buying a typical home in the local county,” says Xu.

Moving out of Manhattan to places like the Hudson Valley just 60 miles outside of New York City could save even more, according to John Olivero with the Olivero Team at Keller Williams First in Goshen, NY.

“Due to our close proximity to a major city with a high population and high housing costs, folks have found our county an excellent place to relocate,” Olivero explains. “I also find owners tend to stay in their homes longer in these good school districts.”

Four toughest markets for homebuyers seeking top schools

In certain areas, home shoppers will struggle to find any affordable options near top schools.

In San Jose, CAMinneapolisOrlando, FL, and Philadelphia, none of the top-rated schools with sufficient listings for analysis had a below-median home price.

“Therefore, homebuyers may need to compromise on some popular home features to get a wider selection of affordable top-school homes,” explains Xu.

What to give up to get into a top school district

Homebuyers who want an affordable property near a top school district will need to compromise on the house they get.

One common sacrifice that homebuyers make to squeeze into a good school district is to pick a home that lacks popular features they might have liked to have otherwise. According to this report’s research, the top five features that home shoppers may need to give up to find budget-friendly, top-school homes are a fireplace, garage, swimming pool, basement, and central air conditioning.

“Home seekers aiming for affordability near top-rated schools regularly must compromise on these traditional indulgences,” says Austin.

Considering a smaller or older home can also help buyers score a budget-friendly abode near a top-tier school: A typical home that’s more affordable and has access to top-rated schools was built in 1988 and has 1,642 square feet, on average—while one in a surrounding county was built in 1990 and has 2,044 square feet.

“If a good school is high on the priority list, I will express to my clients to not get too hung up on square footage or the year the house [was] built,” explains Myers. “Focus on location.”

Two of his past clients were torn between a modern, spacious home in an average school district and a smaller, older home in the best school district in town.

“They took the plunge on the smaller home,” says Myers. “Now, not only are their kids thriving, but their home’s value has skyrocketed, too.”

Julie Taylor is a writer, producer, and editor. Her work has appeared in Cosmopolitan, Redbook, and other publications.

The usually hot summer housing market wilted last month…

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The usually hot summer housing market wilted last month, likely due to the continued heat of stubbornly high mortgage rates.

And that could be great news for homebuyers.

A new report by Realtor.com® found that the number of homes actively for sale in August was 3That means the number of listings is “now at its highest level since May 2020,” says Realtor.com senior economist Ralph McLaughlin in his recent analysis.

Buyers have not only more choices in general but also more bargain-friendly homes to consider. In August, 19.3% of listings saw price reductions. That’s the highest amount for an August since 2018, which is welcome news for buyers weary of sticker shock.

What does this all reveal about the state of the housing market? Buyers might be gaining the upper hand.

“A growing number of homes on the market and rising share of price cuts indicate that today’s housing market isn’t as heavily tipped toward sellers as it has been in recent years,” says Realtor.com® Chief Economist Danielle Hale.

“Sellers are increasingly showing patience and modesty—something buyers haven’t much experienced in the post-pandemic housing market,” McLaughlin adds.

Mortgage rates are expected to fall

High mortgage rates have slowed the housing market considerably over the summer months, as buyers and sellers alike pumped the brakes and bided their time in hopes that rates will fall—and they have.

Mortgage rates fell in August to their lowest level—6.35%—in 18 months on lower-than-expected job growth in July. Yet that number might not be low enough to tempt some buget-minded buyers just yet.

With “expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates three times this year, it’s likely that some potential buyers are sidelining themselves until rates come down further,” says McLaughlin.

6.2% higher than the year prior, marking the 10th consecutive month of growth.

Home prices declined

With price reductions up in August, median home prices fell, dropping from $439,950 in July to $429,995.

“We’ve seen more sellers listing homes for sale compared with the prior year,” says Hale. “The buildup of sellers at the same time that many buyers are pressing pause has led to a shift in market balance, and more sellers are calibrating their price to reflect this.”

But despite the overall decline in the national median list price, all prices didn’t decrease—technically.

“When a change in the mix of inventory toward smaller homes is accounted for, the typical home listed this year has increased in asking price compared with last year,” says McLaughlin.

Last month, as in the previous six months, the growth in homes priced in the $200,000 to $350,000 range outpaced all other price categories, as the number of homes for sale in this range grew by 45.1% year over year, particularly in the South.

As a result, the median price per square foot increased 2.3% in August compared with the same time last year and a whopping 50.9% compared with July 2019.

Homes for sale are on the rise

Homebuyers who did dip a toe in the tepid market last month had many more homes to tour.

All four regions of the U.S. saw an increase in active home listings. Buyers looking for sunny climes were particularly in luck, with the South leading the pack at 46.0%. The West followed at 35.7%, the Midwest at 23.8%, and the Northeast at 15.1%.

 The metros with the largest increases in the number of homes for sale were Tampa, FL, at 91.1%, San Diego, at 80.1%, and Orlando, FL, at 75.7%.

Fresh listings took a dive

While overall housing stock rose, newly listed homes dropped 0.8% from last year’s levels, breaking a nine-month streak of increasing listing activity.

“There are a couple of factors driving this August slowdown in new listings activity,” says Hale.

Hale points to the volatile mortgage rates over the past few months for creating “uncertainty among potential sellers. With mortgage rates climbing from February through May, it’s likely that many homeowners who might have listed in August chose to put off preparations.”

The freshest housing choices were in the South and the West, with 4.1% and 1.7% more newly listed homes than in August 2023, respectively. Meanwhile, new listings dropped by 5.4% in the Midwest and 1.0% in the Northeast.

The metros with the largest increase in fresh listings compared with last year were Cincinnati, at 31.1%, Seattle, at 29.2%, and San Diego, at 22.5%.

However, this could all turn around soon.

“We think the sharp decrease in mortgage rates seen in mid-August could lead to an increase in listings in the coming months as lower rates begin to entice the marginal homeowner to sell,” McLaughlin explains.

Homes are still lingering on the market

Home sales were positively languid in August, with the typical home spending 53 days on the market, seven more days than the same time last year.

That’s “the slowest August in five years,” says McLaughlin. “August marks the fifth in a row where homes spent more time on the market compared with the previous year as inventory continues to grow and home sales remain sluggish.”

All this means buyers have some more breathing room when making an offer.

“The 2024 housing market has clearly been less frenzied than in prior years,” says Hale.

Julie Taylor is a writer, producer, and editor. Her work has appeared in Cosmopolitan, Redbook, and other publications.

The States With the Highest Number of Assumable Mortgages—and How To Get One

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Would-be homebuyers are getting increasingly savvy when it comes to buying a house as mortgage rates continue to hover around 7%.

One way is through home loan assumption—which means the buyer takes over the house’s original mortgage (and interest rate) upon purchase. But, the loan can be assumable only when it’s backed by the U.S. government—like FHAVA, and USDA loans.

More than 11 million homeowners in America have assumable loans, according to the U.S. News & World Report. And over the past 10 years, nationally, 17.1% of mortgages were FHA loans and 7.7% were VA loans, adding up to roughly 25% of mortgages that are, in theory, assumable, according to Realtor.com® data. This number does not include USDA loans.

The states with the highest share of assumable mortgages are Alaska (39.3%), Wyoming (34.4%), Virginia (34.1%), Nevada (32.8%), Oklahoma (32.5%), Maryland (32.1%), Georgia (31.5%), Louisiana (31.5%), New Mexico (31.4%), and Delaware (30.8%).

“An assumable mortgage may be especially appealing to buyers as these loans effectively pass a homeowner’s current low-rate mortgage to the buyer,” says Hannah Jones, Realtor.com senior analyst.

Jones adds that roughly 85% of outstanding mortgages have a rate below 6%—well below today’s going mortgage rate, which makes assumable loans an appealing prospect. But they are hard to come by.

Alaska has the highest share of assumable mortgages, at 39.3%.

(Getty Images)

“Conventional loans, which comprise the majority of home loans across the U.S., are not assumable. Government loans (FHA, VA, USDA) are assumable, but make up a much smaller share of the market and are subject to conditions,” she says.

“Additionally, buyers assuming a mortgage still need to come up with the money to pay off the seller’s existing equity, whether with cash or by taking out a second home loan, which would be subject to today’s mortgage rate.”

Additional perk of an assumable loan

Besides the lower interest rate of an assumable mortgage, it can also shorten the life of a home loan.

The seller would have already paid the initial years of the mortgage, so the buyer would need to cover only the remaining years. For instance, if the original buyer was six years into a 30-year mortgage, the new owner who takes on the loan would pay only the 24 years that are left on the loan.

First-time homebuyers Mickey Ricard and Grace Lucchese, both 24, spotted a three-bedroom Colonial in Westford, MA, which was listed for $429,000

The real selling point of the property emerged during negotiations. They had tried to negotiate a lower price with the owner, who suggested that the couple could assume his loan.

Ricard and Lucchese learned that an assumable mortgage would allow them to essentially “take over” the seller’s mortgage—as well as its 2.6% interest rate.

Mickey Ricard and Grace Lucchese were able to buy a house together at age 24 by using an assumable loan.

(Grace Lucchese)

Rates at that time hovered at 7.6%, so “our mortgage payment would go from $3,800 to $1,700 per month,” Lucchese told Realtor.com. “It was the deal of the century, a loophole, like winning the lottery.”

Tips for finding an assumable mortgage

Many buyers claim it can be difficult to find a home with an adjustable mortgage. To help, Realtor.com recently added an “assumable loan” search filter so shoppers can find these properties more easily.

It might also pay to focus a search on areas near military bases.

“Many of the areas with a high share of listings mentioning an assumable mortgage are home to or near a military base, and therefore see a larger share of VA loans, which are assumable,” says Jones.

Challenges of getting an assumable mortgage

Assumable mortgages can be hard to get because there’s not a big upside for lenders. On conventional loans, banks rake in hefty closing costs that range from 2% to 7% of a home’s purchase price. On an assumable loan, fees max out at $300 for VA loans and $900 for FHA ones.

Since the majority of lenders aren’t used to dealing with assumable loans, they don’t always know how to do so—especially since the underwriting systems on these loans are manual instead of automated.

Companies like Assume Loans, Roam, and AssumeList help buyers navigate the process.

“We help consumers around the country find and purchase homes with assumable mortgages,” Mike Lorino, founder and CEO of AssumeList, says. “We track interest rate, loan balance, down payment requirement, and even the mortgage payment of every assumable home in a market, even if the listing agent doesn’t include any comments in the listing.”

What to know about an assumable mortgage

Conventional loans are not eligible for assumption; they require the loan be paid in full—and a new one issued—whenever a property is sold or transferred to a new owner.

These are the three types of loans that are assumable:

  • FHA loansThese loans are backed by the Federal Housing Administration, which grants loans to low-income borrowers who might not qualify for a conventional loan. Keep in mind that the new borrower, like the old, must qualify under all FHA terms, including credit and employment standards.
  • USDA loans: These loans are offered or backed by the U.S. Department of Agriculture to low-income borrowers in rural areas. As above, the new buyer will need to meet the USDA’s credit score and income guidelines.
  • VA loans: These loans, offered to active or retired military, can even be assumed by nonveterans.

When to pump the brakes or proceed with caution

Although assumable mortgages are highly sought after, there are a few situations where they just aren’t advisable, including the following:

  • When the asking price is way more than the balance of the mortgage you’re assuming. You’ll need to cover the difference, either out of pocket or with a second mortgage (which is harder to qualify for).
  • When the seller with an assumable VA loan needs his or her VA benefit. Because the VA benefit stays with the loan instead of the person, it can be challenging for the veteran to get another VA loan when he or she moves.

Julie Taylor is a writer, producer, and editor. Her work has appeared in Cosmopolitan, Redbook, and other publications.

Mortgage Rates Fall to Lowest Point Since February as the Housing Market Shows ‘Signs of Change’

Mortgage rates dipped this week, with the average rate for a 30-year fixed home loan going from 6.78% last week to 6.73% for the week ending Aug. 1, according to Freddie Mac.

“Mortgage rates declined to their lowest level since early February,” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, said in a statement.

While falling mortgage rates as summer winds down is very welcome news, many would-be buyers are taking a timeout, hoping for a possible larger mortgage rate cut this fall. The wait-and-see approach seems to be trickling down to all aspects of home buying and selling.

“The housing market is showing subtle signs of change this week, with new listings falling, total inventory growing, and homes spending longer on the market,” says Realtor.com® economist Joel Berner in his latest analysis.

Here’s a snapshot of the latest housing market data and what it means for homebuyers and sellers in our latest installment of “How’s the Housing Market This Week?

The autumn mortgage rate outlook

Anticipation is running high for a substantial mortgage rate cut soon, yet Realtor.com economist Jiayi Xu advises buyers to keep their expectations in check.

“While the potential rate cut in September will be a good start to bring the rate down, subsequent drops in mortgage rates may not be as significant as many anticipated because the market is already pricing in rate cuts, and such expectation is reflected by recent rate drops,” says Xu.

In other words, without a meaty rate cut, the needle might not truly move on a housing market largely stuck in neutral due to the “lock-in effect,” says Berner.

Indeed, according to a recent analysis from Realtor.com, 86% of outstanding mortgage debt has a rate of sub-6%, and more than three-quarters have a rate of 5% or lower.

Xu thinks this could mean the housing market may remain sluggish.

Home prices fell slightly

The median listing price dipped in the week ending July 27, falling 0.2% year over year, marking 27 consecutive weeks of annual price growth below 1%. (The national median list price was $445,000 in July.)

This slump is shaped in part by a change to the mix of listings on the market as the price per square foot grows and the size of homes on the market decreases.

“As home prices hover at or near record highs, affordability continues to be the top challenge,” Xu says.

As a result, homebuyers looking for an affordable home may meet their needs with one of the smaller homes that’s currently available.

If mortgage rates fall and more sellers may list properties, more listing price cuts could also be on the way.

The number of homes for sale decreased

New listings were down by 2.3% for the week ending July 27 compared with the year prior. This dip comes after fresh listings rose for 15 of the past 17 weeks.

“Potential sellers are not seeing the price increases they hope for in the market and are choosing not to list their homes for sale,” says Berner.

Even though new listings were indeed down, the total number of houses for sale increased by 37.1% year over year in the week ending July 27. This marks a 38-week streak of growing for-sale homes compared with a year ago.

The pace of the market continues to slow

Homes spent five days more on the market for the week ending July 27 compared with this time last year. (The typical home spent 50 days on the market in July.)

Continued high prices and high mortgage rates have forced sellers to wait longer to complete their home sales.

“This summer’s slowdown has continued, as each of the past 12 weeks has seen homes sitting on the market longer than they did in the previous year,” says Berner.

While homes are selling at a slower pace recently, they are still selling faster than they were in the years before COVID-19, so homebuyers who see a great home should not wait too long to make an offer. Those who choose to wait to enter the market have reason to remain optimistic.

“With broader economic indicators remaining strong, there is hope that mortgage prices will soon fall and breathe life into the currently slow market,” Berner explains.

Julie Taylor is a writer, producer, and editor. Her work has appeared in Cosmopolitan, Redbook, and other publications.

The Housing Market Just Showed a Sudden, Miraculous ‘Return to Normal’—Take a Look

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What does the real estate market need after years of being first overheated during the COVID-19 housing boom and then effectively frozen by the high mortgage rates that followed? A run at plain old room temperature.

The market appeared to be heading in that more typical direction in the week ending Jan. 20.

“This past week, the housing market showed the early signs of a return to normal, with slowing median listing price growth, a growing inventory of homes for sale, and mortgage rates which have fallen more than a percentage point from their recent peak,” says Realtor.com® economic dMortgage rates for a 30-year fixed-rate home loan ticked up to an average of 6.69% for the week ending Jan. 25, according to the latest Freddie Mac data. Yet that figure “has remained within a very narrow range over the last month,” says Freddie Mac Chief Economist Sam Khater. (Last week’s rate averaged 6.60%.)

With nearly two months of winter left, will buyers and sellers brave the cold to take advantage of a surprisingly temperate market?

We’ll explain what the latest housing market data means for anyone tempted to get off the sidelines and into the real estate game in the latest installment of “How’s the Housing Market This Week?

Where mortgage rates might be headed

All market watchers will be tuned in to see what the Fed does at its next meeting at the end of this month. Why? Because the Fed’s relentless raising of interest rates to tame ballooning inflation is what essentially triggered mortgage interest rates to double over the past two years.

Now, the Fed is poised to cut rates this year as inflation falls closer to its 2% goal. This will likely put pressure on mortgage rates to fall. However, those eagerly anticipated rate cuts aren’t likely until the spring or summer.

“Looking forward, recent employment and inflation data came in relatively strong, suggesting that the Fed will likely opt to hold the policy rate steady in their upcoming meeting,” explains Speianu. “Continued progress toward the 2% inflation rate target is expected, and this will eventually improve housing market conditions in 2024.”

Home prices finally budge

While the median home list price rose by 1.9% for the week ending Jan. 20 compared with the prior year, the growth in prices declined from the previous week. (The median listing hit $410,000 in December.)

This is good news for buyers who have been grappling with the high price hikes over the past few years. While prices are still rising, they’re doing so much more slowly than the double-digit price hikes experienced during the pandemic.

“Listing price growth appears to be cooling after reaching a 35-week high during the week ending Jan. 6,” says Speianu. “If this trend continues, homebuyers stand to benefit from a decline in mortgage rates and slower, moderate home price appreciation.”

The ongoing inventory uptick

The new year has brought a welcome trove of new homes for sale, which were a rare sight during a considerable stretch of last year.

New listings were up for the week ending Jan. 20 by 3.4% from one year ago. While this growth is less than last week’s 7% growth rate, “newly listed homes continue to rise above last year’s levels for the 13th week in a row,” notes Speianu.

Active listings (a measure of both old and new homes for sale) grew by 8.6% for the week ending Jan. 20 compared with the year prior. That marked an 11-week streak of annual growth.

And in promising news for buyers, there’s “no sign yet of a slowdown as growth in inventory,” says Speianu.

The case for not waiting for the spring market

Some buyers and sellers might be tempted to hold out for the busy spring housing market to kick into gear before getting off the proverbial bench.

Yet many home shoppers are already in the game—and snapping up properties.

The typical home flew off the listing pages four days faster in the week ending Jan. 20 than in the same period last year. (In December, homes spent an average of 61 days on the market.)

Chalk the faster pace of sales up to the influx of fresh listings and lower mortgage rates in a market filled with hungry buyers ready to pounce once they find homes they can afford.

Buyers ready to make the move and sellers who need another home to move to might want to act fast before prices—and the competition—rise even more.

“This year, the first few weeks of January are shaping up to look more like slower seasonal growth seen in the years 2017 to 2020, where listing prices begin to pick up later in February,” says Speianu.

Margaret Heidenry is a writer living in Brooklyn, NY. Her work has appeared in the New York Times Magazine, Vanity Fair, and Boston Magazine.

Got Mortgage Rate Resentment? Here’s How To Cope (and Get a Lower Rate)

M&R Realty Best Realtor in Lexington SC West Columbia,
M&R Realty Best Realtor in Lexington SC West Columbia,

By Lisa Marie Conklin

Nov 16, 2023

Homeowners often love to humble-brag about various aspects of their abode, from the size of their primary suite to just how many cars can fit in their garage.

But the latest boast has nothing to do with square footage and everything to do with numbers—today’s homeowners like to boast their look-how-lucky-I-got low mortgage rates.

If you missed out on the friendly mortgage rates your friends or family nailed down buying homes during the COVID-19 pandemic, join the club. Homebuyers today are feeling mortgage envy in a big way as interest rates surge to new heights.

Here’s how to deal with those who feel the need to flaunt their low mortgage rates (and how to get a rate you’ll want to show off).

Mortgage rate envy, explained

Many lucky homeowners snagged a rate of 2.65% in January 2021, but hearing about it will likely grate on the nerves of today’s buyers facing a current 23-year high of 7.57%.

Jealousy is human nature, after all.

“Envy often stems from issues related to self-worth, identity, and unmet desires or needs,” says William Schroeder, counselor and co-owner at Just Mind in Austin, TX. “How mortgage envy relates to this situation is pretty clear: The person who gets the house at a better deal is perceived as to be envied.”

In other words, your needs remain unmet while someone else’s are fulfilled.

Owners and buyers are green-ish with envy

No one will throw shade if you feel bitter that your pals scooped up a 3.5% interest rate just last year when you’re looking down the barrel at a rate twice as high.

“I absolutely have mortgage rate envy for the people who bought homes anytime before 2022,” says Carter Seuthe, CEO of Credit Summit. Seuthe’s been house shopping for a year and, to make matters worse, was outbid on two offers.

“It is easy to allow situations like this to go into a ‘compare and despair’ cycle,” says Schroeder. “We have such an abundance of data and social media tools that highlight obvious points of comparison.”

Jake Hill, CEO of DebtHammer, was on the compare and despair ride when he first learned of his friend’s variable rate.

“The introductory rate was so much lower than mine, and I almost felt like I had made a mistake choosing a fixed-rate loan,” says Hill. “However, I reminded myself that, in time, that variable rate will balance out, and their mortgage choice won’t look like such a steal.”

How to deal with a mortgage bragger

Feeling jealous of someone else’s good fortune is one thing, but when someone knows you’re house shopping and goes on (and on) about their low interest rate, it rubs salt into the wound.

“Normally, when this comes up, it’s a sign a person is looking for confirmation of self-worth,” says Schroeder. “Very often, this is rooted in an insecurity of some sort as they are trying to boost themselves up and show some superiority.”

Humble braggers might expect a high-five for their perceived shrewd wisdom and perfect timing in conquering the housing market. But it’s OK if you can barely muster up enthusiasm to congratulate them.

And Schroeder notes that not all boasting comes from a negative place. Instead, the need to show prowess might be cultural.

“Maybe someone comes from a specific background that rewards financial savvy or thrift,” says Schroeder.

How lenders deal with mortgage rate envy

So, who hears about mortgage rate envy the most? Mortgage lenders!

“We often find clients coming to us with stories of how their friends or family managed to secure lower interest rates on their mortgages,” says Alex Shekhtman, CEO and founder of LBC Mortgage in Los Angeles.

He recently had a client who was disheartened when she found out a relative had snagged a lower interest rate for their new home.

“She felt like she was missing out on something great,” says Shekhtman.

Tips to get a lower interest rate

The good news for buyers with mortgage rate envy is that lenders might be able to turn those understandably sour grapes into something less bitter.

Shekhtman’s client worked to improve her financial profile and qualified for a better rate. Here are his suggestions on how you can nab a lower interest rate.

Boost your credit score: “Lenders often reward borrowers with higher credit scores by offering more favorable rates,” says Shekhtman.

Compare multiple mortgage rate offers: “By comparing multiple offers, you increase your chances of finding a rate that aligns with your financial goals,” explains Shekhtman.

Make a bigger down payment: Putting down a chunk of change might be rewarded with a lower interest rate by a lender. Also, some FHA programs offer rates that are lower than conventional loans and with only a 3.5% down payment.

Buy mortgage points: “Some lenders let you buy mortgage points, which means you prepay interest upfront in exchange for a lower interest rate for the whole loan term,” says Shekhtman. Do the math and determine if buying points makes sense in the long run.

It’s OK to (quietly) have mortgage rate pride

John Kennelly, founder of F3 Collective in Dallas, refinanced his original 4.25% mortgage from 2019 to a 3% rate in August 2020.

But he doesn’t shout it from the rooftops.

“We do our best not to reveal our rate to friends buying a home right now,” says Kennelly. “We feel for friends who need to buy a new home right now.”

Though Kennelly does admit a private sense of pride: “My wife and I always share a wry smile for how lucky we are to have capitalized on the low rates during COVID.”

Lisa Marie Conklin knows a little something about moving. She’s moved eight times in the past 10 years but currently calls Baltimore home. She writes for Reader’s Digest, Family Handyman, The Healthy, Taste of Home, and MSN.

Bargain Hunters, Rejoice: Top 20 Emerging Housing Markets Deliver 

M&R Realty Best Realtor in Lexington SC West Columbia,

By Clare Trapasso

The top emerging housing markets in America this fall have one key thing in common: They’re generally places where buyers can still find an affordably priced home.

The No. 1 market this fall is Topeka, KS, according to the quarterly Wall Street Journal/Realtor.com® Emerging Housing Markets Index. The capital of Kansas boasts a median home list price of just $250,000 and a low unemployment rate.

“These areas are relatively inexpensive,” says Hannah Jones, a senior economic research analyst at Realtor.com. “Inflation remains high, home prices are high, mortgage rates are high, so buyers are being hit from every angle right now. … For buyers who do need to purchase a home, it’s important that they can find one where the monthly payments are going to be reasonable.”

The index identified the top markets for both buyers and investors out of the 300 largest metropolitan areas. It looked at metros with strong housing demand based on page views of local listings, the number of homes for sale, property taxes, and median days homes sit on the market before a sale. It also factored in metros with robust economies, lots of well-paying jobs, a good quality of life, and desirable amenities such as lots of small businesses and reasonable commutes to work. (Metros include the main city and surrounding towns, suburbs, and smaller urban areas.)

With home prices back on the rise and mortgage rates nearing 8%, the budgets of many buyers have been stretched beyond their breaking points. Nationally, home prices were about 40% higher and the typical mortgage payment was 114% larger in September than just four years earlier. That’s led some buyers to seek out cheaper places to live.

“Wage growth has not kept up with inflation,” says Jones. “Homes have to be low-priced for monthly mortgage payments to be reasonable.”

Nearly all of the top 20 emerging housing markets this fall either boast low home prices or are cheaper alternatives to pricier nearby cities. Just over half of the markets were in the Midwest, with three of the top five in Indiana.

Prices in these markets, however, are rising quickly. They shot up an average of 19% year over year in September compared with 9.5% nationally. Since the COVID-19 pandemic, prices shot up 69% compared with 47% nationally.

“Many of these areas didn’t see some of the early pandemic price surges,” says Jones. “These more affordable areas are pulling in interest from out-of-area buyers. It’s highly possible that they have higher incomes and therefore may be willing to prop up that price growth, because homes are still relatively affordable compared to the U.S. as a whole.”

Buyers can still find homes priced below $200K in Topeka

In Topeka, buyers can still find a three-bedroom, two-bathroom home in the city limits for less than $200,000 if they don’t mind putting in some work, says local real estate agent Patrick Moore, of Keller Williams One Legacy Partners.

Larger, move-in ready homes in desirable suburbs are priced a bit higher, in the mid-$200,000s.

“We see a higher number of people relocating here from the West Coast and other more expensive areas,” he says. “People have figured out that living in our area is way, way cheaper. But there’s still job opportunities here, and there’s less traffic.”

Homes also cost about 40% less than in Kansas City, MO, about an hour west of Topeka.

However, the housing market is much more competitive today than it was before the pandemic. The median home price is about $100,000 more than it was in September 2019. And while the number of homes for sale has been steadily increasing over the past year, there are still about 50% fewer properties than there were a year earlier.

“It’s still a pretty hot seller’s market in our area,” says Moore.

Home prices are relative

Not every home on the list was cheap. A quarter of the top 20 emerging markets had prices that were more than the national median list price of $429,500 in September.

In New Hampshire, Manchester (No. 7) and Concord (No. 8) both had prices above $500,000. But homes in these metros were a steal compared with Boston, about an hour southeast of the cities, where homes cost a median of $849,000. About 90% of views on Concord home listings were from out-of-town home seekers.

Priced-out buyers were also drawn to Worcester, MA (No. 2o). The metro’s median list price was $490,000—more than $350,000 less than in Boston, about an hour’s drive to the east.

The one outlier on the list was the Santa Maria metro, about three hours north of Los Angeles along the coast of Southern California. The wealthy area, which includes tony Santa Barbara, attracts interest from international buyers.

“Buyers in Santa Barbara may not be as impacted by the affordability constraints,” says Jones. “They may not be as worried about mortgage rates because it’s more likely they’ll be paying in cash or putting down a larger down payment.”

Top 20 emerging real estate markets in fall 2023

  1. Topeka, KS($250,000 median home list price)
  2. Elkhart, IN($280,000)
  3. Oshkosh, WI($317,000)
  4. Fort Wayne, IN($312,000)
  5. Lafayette, IN($293,000)
  6. Racine, WI($352,000)
  7. Manchester, NH($535,000)
  8. Concord, NH($550,000)
  9. Columbus, OH($380,000)
  10. Johnson City, TN($425,000)
  11. Kingsport, TN($325,000)
  12. Jefferson City, MO($318,000)
  13. Springfield, OH($200,000)
  14. Santa Maria, CA($1,895,000)
  15. Dayton, OH($240,000)
  16. Janesville, WI($320,000)
  17. Canton, OH($235,000)
  18. Knoxville, TN($475,000)
  19. Hartford, CT($400,000)
  20. Worcester, MA($490,000)

Clare Trapasso is the executive news editor of Realtor.com. She was previously a reporter for the Associated Press, the New York Daily News, and a Financial Times publication. She also taught journalism courses at several New York City colleges. Email clare.trapasso@realtor.com or follow @claretrap on X (formerly Twitter).

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The Top 10 Real Estate Markets of 2024: You’ll Never Guess Which Ones Made the Cut

M&R Realty Best Realtor in Lexington SC West Columbia,

By Clare Trapasso

Dec 4, 2023

Everyone seems to know someone who knows someone who hit the real estate jackpot: lucky folks who bought a home for a relative pittance back when prices were low and then sold it a few years later for a windfall.

So where are the next hot spots to buy a home?

While it’s nearly impossible to time the housing market, certain parts of the country are expected to fare better than others this coming year, according to the Realtor.com® 2024 forecast.

In this forecast, Realtor.com identified the real estate markets where home sales prices are anticipated to grow, even as they dip nationally. The number of existing-home sales in these places is also expected to surge, despite remaining mostly flat in much of the rest of the country.

The top 10 markets in 2024 “have been more steady,” says Realtor.com Chief Economist Danielle Hale. “They haven’t seen the big price and sales booms we’ve seen in other parts of the country, which helps them to stand out now.”

The Realtor.com economics team predicted home sales prices as well as the number of existing-home sales, which excluded new construction, in the 100 largest metropolitan areas.

Ironically, two of the nation’s most expensive states claimed seven of the top 10 spots. Half were on the West Coast, in notoriously pricey California, with two in Massachusetts.

That might come as a surprise as homebuyers have increasingly been seeking out pockets of affordability as mortgage rates spiked and home prices have remained historically high. Those high costs resulted in a rough year for the Golden State housing market. As it became even more unaffordable to purchase a home in California, prices slumped in many areas and sales dried up.

Many of these Southern California markets are expected to rebound in 2024. As mortgage rates are predicted to fall in the year ahead, it will bring more buyers into the market who are expected to bid up prices. Equally important will be the additional sellers who are likelier to put their homes up for sale, boosting inventory, as they become more confident they can find new ones. That will result in more sales.

The Massachusetts metros are smaller, more affordable places that might make sense for those who work locally or are commuting less to larger, more expensive cities like Boston.

“As people have more remote work, they are willing to live farther away from the office,” says Hale.

The wild card in these top market predictions is mortgage rates. If rates shoot back up again or refuse to retreat to the mid-6% range, many California markets might not see the price and sales growth that Realtor.com has anticipated.

“Seeing mortgage rates come back will be enough to kick-start buyer demand,” says Hale.

Let’s check out the top housing markets of 2024:

1. Toledo, OH

November median home list price: $200,000
Forecasted 2024 home sales price change: 8.3%
Forecasted 2024 home sales change: 14%

When most folks think about America’s top real estate markets, Toledo might not be their first pick. The Rust Belt city, about an hour southwest of Detroit on the banks of Lake Erie, has seen its share of troubles over the past few decades.

However, the Toledo housing market has remained largely balanced over the past few crazy years. Prices have stayed low, at less than half of the national median price of $420,000 in November.

“It’s less prone to the wild swings we’ve seen in other markets,” says Hale. “The highs weren’t as high and the lows weren’t as low—so that’s one of the reasons they’re going to start to recover first.”

There has been an influx of new buyers in search of affordable homes here, says local real estate agent Rick Turner, of Key Realty. There have also been plenty of investors buying fixer-uppers, renovating them, and then renting out those properties, although they’ve been pulling back a bit recently.

“We’re seeing fewer people who are applying for mortgages right now,” Turner says.

Those looking for entry-level homes in the suburbs can find them in the $250,000 to $300,000 range in places such as Sylvania, OH, and Holland, OH. Buyers searching within the city limits can still score a starter home for about $160,000.

2. Oxnard, CA

November median home list price: $1,037,000
Forecasted 2024 home sales price change: 3.3%
Forecasted 2024 home sales change: 18%

About an hour north of Los Angeles on the coast is Oxnard, an agricultural area known for its picturesque beaches, which include the communities of Thousand Oaks and Ventura.

The area is a cheaper alternative to Los Angeles, where homes have a $1.15 million median price tag—but that gap is closing quickly. List prices in the metro were up 22% in October compared with a year earlier, and homes are selling quicker than in 2022.

Many of the homes in this market are ranch-style, although there are multilevel homes near the water as well as plenty of condos and a smattering of townhomes.

This single-level, four-bedroom, two-bathroom house is on the market for $735,000. Buyers looking for a deal can check out this three-bedroom, three-bathroom condo in downtown Oxnard for $565,000.

3. Rochester, NY

November median home list price: $239,000
Forecasted 2024 home sales price change: 10.4%
Forecasted 2024 home sales change: 6.2%

Rochester has emerged as a real estate destination thanks to the area’s low home prices and scenic location on Lake Ontario, upstate in New York on the Canadian border. The metro has become a stalwart of the Realtor.com hottest markets list since 2022.

The Rust Belt city, the headquarters of former corporate titan Kodak, struggled over the decades but was awarded $10 million last year for revitalization projects downtown.

The local housing market is dominated by single-family homes on the resale market, but buyers can find townhomes and new construction.

There is this three-bedroom, two-bathroom Colonial on more than an acre of land for just under $250,000. Buyers can also snap up this recently renovated three-bedroom, 1.5-bath house for nearly $175,000.

4. San Diego, CA

November median home list price: $995,000
Forecasted 2024 home sales price change: 5.4%
Forecasted 2024 home sales change: 11%

The inclusion of San Diego on this list might be a head-scratcher. The desirable Southern California city, close to the U.S.-Mexico border, is renowned for its warm weather, miles of beautiful beaches, and the San Diego Zoo.

The metro was smacked hard by surging mortgage rates, which, along with the high home prices, made the area financially untenable for many buyers. Many home sellers were forced to slash their prices and homes sat on the market for longer until the market began turning around this year.

Mortgage broker Julie Aragon, of Aragon Lending, is seeing buyers trade Los Angeles for San Diego, where they can find larger homes in good school districts for less money.

“The bigger houses, there is still a lot of demand for those,” says Aragon.

This newly renovated four-bedroom, three-bathroom house is on the market for about $970,000. Buyers on a tighter budget can tour this one-bedroom condo in the Mission Valley neighborhood for $435,000.

5. Riverside, CA

November median home list price: $585,000
Forecasted 2024 home sales price change: 2%
Forecasted 2024 home sales change: 13.8%

Riverside, an area known for its citrus groves about an hour inland from Los Angeles, continues to attract homebuyers from pricier parts of the state. But there is little for them to purchase.

“Our issue this year has been lack of properties put on the market,” says real estate broker Doug Shepherd, of Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate Champions. “No one is selling.”

Roughly 50% to 60% of his clients are chasing affordability from Los Angeles, where the median home price is nearly double that of Riverside, and other areas in Southern California.

“Even at these interest rates, we’re still affordable” to these buyers, Shepherd says. “If we can put more homes on the market, we’ll have more sales. Demand is there.”

6. Bakersfield, CA

November median home list price: $385,000
Forecasted 2024 home sales price change: 2.3%
Forecasted 2024 home sales change: 13.4%

Bakersfield is another agricultural area that’s been catching the interest of Los Angelenos as well as remote workers seeking more affordable real estate. The city is inland, about two hours north of the larger city.

“Affordability has always been the biggest draw,” says real estate agent William Gordon, of the Gordon Team Realty. As mortgage rates have dipped recently into the lower 7% range, he’s seen a slight uptick in housing market activity.

“I do see a pretty strong spring coming as long as rates keep dropping,” he adds.

This four-bedroom, two-bathroom home with an in-ground pool, covered patio area, and chicken coops is on the market for $399,000. There are also plenty of newly constructed houses for sale between $500,000 and $700,000.

7. Springfield, MA

November median home list price: $350,000
Forecasted 2024 home sales price change: 4.2%
Forecasted 2024 home sales change: 10.5%

Springfield might be an unusual pick for a national top markets list. But this city, the birthplace of beloved author Dr. Seuss, is luring homebuyers with its affordable home prices and low unemployment.

The metro is about 90 minutes west of Boston on the Connecticut River, with home prices less than half of the larger metro’s median of $837,000, according to Realtor.com list price data in October. And that’s after home prices have steadily risen in the Springfield area since mid-2022.

This three-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom brick house with an in-ground pool is $375,000. Those looking for something a bit cheaper and in need of less maintenance can give this two-bedroom, two-bathroom condo with a balcony a look.

8. Worcester, MA

November median home list price: $475,000
Forecasted 2024 home sales price change: 4.8%
Forecasted 2024 home sales change: 9.1%

Similar to Springfield, Worcester has long been a cheaper alternative to Boston. The larger city is only about an hour’s drive to the east.

However, the additional demand for homes in the Worcester area has pushed median home list prices up 42% in just four years, according to Realtor.com October data. And that’s still a major bargain compared with Boston’s prices. That helps to explain why the metro was also named one of the top markets of 2023 by Realtor.com.

The buyers braving the Worcester market are a mix of Bostonians, investors, and locals who can afford the higher prices and mortgage rates, says real estate broker Nick McNeil, of McNeil Real Estate.

“The market obviously is hot, but it is cooling down,” he says. That’s due to today’s buyers facing expensive, monthly mortgage payments and a lack of homes for sale. “I’ve got 20 people here I could probably call and we could list their house tomorrow. But then they’ve got nowhere to go.”

If rates dip into the 6% range, as Realtor.com economists forecast, many sellers and buyers will be nudged off the sidelines, McNeil says. That additional competition will heat the market, pushing prices up even more.

9. Grand Rapids, MI

November median home list price: $390,000
Forecasted 2024 home sales price change: 7.2%
Forecasted 2024 home sales change: 6.1%

Known for its brewery scene and role in producing office furniture (something the city touts), Grand Rapids is another city that’s seen high home price growth during the COVID-19 pandemic. And prices in Grand Rapids, just east of Lake Michigan, keep notching up.

However, the pervasive lack of homes is stymying the market.

“There are still plenty of people who would purchase if there were homes available,” says real estate broker Steve Volkers, of Five Star Real Estate. “That’s more the issue than the interest rates.”

There are still people moving into the area, many of whom are baby boomers wanting to be closer to family or folks moving in from the other side of the state.

“Before they could buy a lot bigger of a house because interest rates were low,” says Volkers. “But now, they’re just adjusting and finding something within their … budget because they still want to be homeowners.”

This three-bedroom, three-bathroom brick house on a quarter of an acre is on the market for $499,000.

10. Los Angeles

November median home list price: $1,150,000
Forecasted 2024 home sales price change: 3.5%
Forecasted 2024 home sales change: 9.2%

The Los Angeles housing market took a beating as mortgage rates spiked. Prices slipped or grew very modestly, homes took longer to sell, and many sellers had to cut prices.

However, the market has been rebounding in recent months.

“A lot of our clients are just realizing that, after a year and a half of [higher mortgage rates], these are the rates,” says mortgage broker Aragon.

The problem: There aren’t enough homes to go around. Once rates fall, Aragon anticipates more buyers will jump into the market and the bidding wars will ratchet up.

“It’s going to get more competitive,” she says. “I expect prices to go up a lot.”

Clare Trapasso is the executive news editor of Realtor.com. She was previously a reporter for the Associated Press, the New York Daily News, and a Financial Times publication. She also taught journalism courses at several New York City colleges. Email clare.trapasso@realtor.com or follow @claretrap on X (formerly Twitter).

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Is the Housing Market Overvalued? What Buyers Need To Know

M&R Realty Best Realtor in Lexington SC West Columbia,

By Clare Trapasso

Oct 9, 2023

Is the housing market overvalued?

It’s an increasingly fraught question, and the answer might depend on who’s being asked.

Some real estate experts believe home prices are well above what they should be and expect them to begin coming down. Others think the high prices make sense given how many people are still in the market looking for properties, despite mortgage rates nearing 8%.

“If you look at how much income homebuyers are putting toward their housing payment, if the number is not the highest ever, it’s really darn close,” says Realtor.com® Chief Economist Danielle Hale.

No one wants to buy a home at the peak of the market—and then watch the home value trickle down.

Homes in 98 of the 100 largest housing markets are selling above their long-term prices, which indicates that they are overvalued, according to an August analysis from Florida Atlantic University and Florida International University researchers. Only two markets had homes selling at a discount.

Nine of the top 10 markets where homes were priced the highest above historical norms were in the South, with seven in Florida, according to the analysis.

“The Sun Belt states are the most overvalued,” says Ken H. Johnson, a real estate economist at Florida Atlantic University in Boca Raton.

However, not everyone believes home prices are out of whack.

One thing most observers agree on: It’s the housing shortage that has kept prices high. Since there aren’t enough properties to go around for all of those aging into prime homebuying years, buyers have been trying to outdo one another with higher and higher offers to win bidding wars.

It happens in artwork, in commodities, in precious metals—and certainly in housing: The rarer, and more desirable, something is, the more valuable it is often considered to be.

“Yes, we’re in an affordability crisis,” says Devyn Bachman, senior vice president of research at the real estate consulting firm John Burns Research and Consulting. But “we have so much demand in the market, I don’t know that you can argue housing is overvalued.”

Fears of buying at the top of the market

It’s nearly impossible to perfectly time investments in the stock market. That is also true in real estate. No one wants to risk buying shortly before a major price correction.

That’s why some buyers who can afford the steep price tags at today’s high mortgage rates might decide to wait.

“There’s always this looming fear that they’re buying at the wrong time or they’re buying at the top of the market,” says Ali Wolf, chief economist of the builder consultancy Zonda. “We thought the peak was last year; we thought the peak was the year before.”

The problem is that it’s often impossible to figure out if the market has peaked until well after the fact. Many thought the market had peaked earlier this year when prices began to dip on a year-over-year basis, but then they started creeping up again.

“If someone is buying now because they want to lock in their interest rate, live in a certain neighborhood, get in a certain school district, and they’re planning to live there at least five years, I wouldn’t be as concerned about trying to time the market,” says Wolf.

Mortgage rates will determine whether home prices rise or fall

If rates come back down, that could lure more buyers back into the market and prices could rise more steeply again.

(David Paul Morris/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

Home prices aren’t sitting by themselves on an island. Mortgage rates and incomes also play a large part in whether real estate is overvalued.

It’s simple math. If everyone in America made at least $1 million a year, September’s median home list price of $430,000 wouldn’t seem so extra. Similarly, if mortgage rates were below 3%, then today’s prices would also be a lot more palatable.

“Two years ago, home prices were [also] high, but interest rates were low and most markets were considered fairly valued,” says Wolf. “The reason that’s changed today is mortgage rates have more than doubled.”

If mortgage rates keep climbing, home prices could fall. There is a limit to how much buyers can afford to spend each month on housing.

“It’s definitely more risky [to buy] today because of the high interest rates,” says Wolf. “If someone is buying now because they think their home [will be] up in value one year from now, I wouldn’t guarantee it.”

But if rates come back down, that could lure more buyers back into the market and prices could rise more steeply again.

“If mortgage rates drop, then maybe your asset isn’t overvalued,” says Bachman.

Will home prices crash?

Even if home prices are overvalued, most real estate experts don’t expect another housing crash to correct them.

“It’s certainly possible that home prices could fall from recent highs. It’s also possible they could still go up,” says Hale. “One year ago, everyone was predicting that the sky would fall in real estate—and that hasn’t happened in most markets.”

Unlike during the Great Recession, there are more buyers today than there are homes for sale. That shortage is expected to put a floor under prices, keeping them more elevated than many buyers would prefer.

Lenders have also tightened underwriting so that only more qualified borrowers get loans. That’s likely to prevent another wave of foreclosures, flooding the market with cheap real estate.

“There is going to be some adjustment. It could be that prices fall, it could be that incomes grow to catch up, it could be that mortgage rates come back down,” says Hale. “Or each of these three things could contribute a little bit over time until we gradually get back to housing taking up a more normal share of income.”

She also notes that housing markets rarely bottom out quickly. During the Great Recession, it took about four years for prices to fall to their nadir.

Even if prices did correct, most homeowners have enough equity in their homes to not find themselves underwater on their mortgages, says Hale.

The exceptions are recent homeowners who haven’t had as much time to pay down their balances or benefit from the steep price increases of the past few years. There is also a greater risk for those who purchased their homes with low down payments; they could be in the uncomfortable position of owing more than their homes are worth if prices came down by double digits.

But over time, the housing market generally rebounds and prices begin rising again. Homeowners just have to hold on. Even if the housing market is overvalued, people who need a home will still buy.

“It’s very clear that housing is expensive right now,” says Hale. But “even if housing is overvalued, it will make sense for people to buy homes.”Clare Trapasso is the executive news editor of Realtor.com. She was previously a reporter for the Associated Press, the New York Daily News, and a Financial Times publication. She also taught journalism courses at several New York City colleges. Email clare.trapasso@realtor.com or follow @claretrap on X (formerly Twitter).